In the container shipping sector, the consultancy works for shippers, shipping lines, port and terminal operators, trade associations and financial institutions, providing the following main services:
- Container trade forecasts at a global, national and trade lane level.
- Monitoring of global container shipping supply, the supply-demand balance and global container port demand.
- Modelling of the revenues, costs and profitability of the global container shipping industry as a whole and at a trade lane level.
- Market and feasibility studies, business cases and business plans for container terminals and related port infrastructure throughout the world.
- Assessment of the container shipping market, competition and market share analyses.
- Commercial due diligence services for buyers or vendors of container terminals.
High level analysis of global containerised trade, global container shipping supply and the supply-demand balance is published each month in Containers (used to be called Containerisation International), the leading industry magazine on the container shipping industry. Our forecasts are regularly covered in Lloyds List and our trade data has also been used by the BBC when it was tracking an individual container around the world.
As well as having extensive experience of using official and industry statistics and being able to draw on its consultants’ knowledge of the relevant markets, MDS Transmodal is able to produce analyses from its own unique set of databases and transport models:
- The World Cargo Database: a harmonised global database of trade flows at a detailed commodity level
- The Containership Databank: tracks the deployment of the world’s containership fleet
- The Container Business Model (CBM) models the economics of the global container shipping industry and combines data from the Containership Databank (which tracks the deployment of the world’s container shipping fleet) with the consultancy’s trade database (the World Cargo Database) to allocate world trade in maritime TEU to container ships, synthesising transhipment as required, and therefore utilisation. The model, which is calibrated against the financial results of the more transparent global shipping lines, provides estimates of revenue, costs (ship costs, bunker costs, terminal handling costs etc.) and profit by trade lane and has been used by several global shippers to help them understand shipping line costs.
- The End to End Model (E2E) models the economics of door-to-door container shipping services between a given set of origins/destinations in Great Britain and a given set of origins and destinations overseas, based on a given volume of containerised trade on the relevant trade lane. It allows the complete door-to-door transport costs to be modelled and so includes not only the costs of operating the shipping services on a quay-to-quay basis via a particular port, but also considers the inland distribution costs by road or rail. It can be used, in particular, to compare the average cost of container transport between different British ports for a specific trade lane, such as Europe-Far East and Transatlantic.
- Databases of global container port TEU throughput